Friday, August 31, 2007
STOCK IDEAS 3RD SEPTEMBER
ACC SL.1045 TGT 1160
GMRINFRA SL.795 TGT 1000
SBIN SL.1560 TGT 1650,1725
TITAN SL.1205 TGT 1375
BHARTI ABV 890 TGT 960 SL.862
RELCAPTIAL SL.1150 TGT 1300
BEML SL.1182 TGT 1325
LANCO SL.280 TGT 400
KOTAKBANK ABV.721 TGT 900
Disclaimer: The recommendations provided would be purely on my personal opinion and doesnot reflect any fund house interest or my personal holdings. I would not be responsible for the loss in trades undertaken based on my recommendations.
TRALING STOPS FOR 31 AUG CALLS
SKUMARS HOLD SL.105 BUY AT 107
ARVIND HOLD SL.45.5 TGT 53
JINDALSTEL SL.3725 TGT 4010,4500
FINANTECH SL.2310 TGT 2505,2650
PENINLAND SL.478 TGT 538
INDIAINFO SL.630 TGT 717
Disclaimer: The recommendations provided would be purely on my personal opinion and doesnot reflect any fund house interest or my personal holdings. I would not be responsible for the loss in trades undertaken based on my recommendations.
Thursday, August 30, 2007
STOCK IDEAS 31 AUG
SKUMARS LOOKING GOOD FOR UP MOVE UPTO 116.KEEP A STRICT STOP AT 105 AND BUY AT DIPS TOWARDS 107
ARVINDMILL IS SEEING FANTASTIC ACCUMALATION AND CAN MOVE UP PHENOMENALLY BUY WITH A STOPLOSS OF 45.5 AND FINAL STOPLOSS OF 44.
JINDAL STEEL AND POWER IS PREGNANT FOR NEXT UPMOVE BUY WITH STOPLOSS OF 3725
BUY FINANCIAL TECHNOLOGIES ON DECLINES TOWARDS 2300 TO GO LONG.
PENINLAND ABV 481 CAN MOVE TO 537
BUY INDIA INFOLINE SL.629 TARGET 672,715 VERY SOON
Nifty Outlook 31 Aug
NIFTY HAS REGAINED LOST MOMENTUM AFTER A CONSIDERABLE CORRECTION.NOW MY SINPLE ADVICE TO U ALL IS THAT ANY DIP GO OUT AND BUY LONG POSITIONS IN NIFTY.TRADERS CAN BUY 4400,4500 & 4600 CALLS OF NIFTY UNDER ALL CIRCUMSTANCES OF PANIC.NIFTY HAS GIVEN A FANTASTIC BREAKOUT AT 4290 REGION.USE 4320 ON CLOSING BASIS AS YOUR STOP LOSS AND BUY NIFTY CALLS AND FUTURES AND HOLD PATIENTLY.
Tuesday, August 28, 2007
Stock Ideas
ITC can be bought at a dip keeping a stoploss at 160.
MTNL can be short sold with stoploss of 139.5 and a target of 129.5
DenaBank can be bought with stoploss of 54.
Arvind Mill is Strong buy ,Buy in sept Series with stoploss of 44 in cash.
Lanco Infra is looking great any dip towards 260 levels is a buy with strong support at 251.Buy with stoploss at those levels.
Nifty and market outlook for 29th Aug
Interesting correction data
DATE | Nifty Level | Rise/Fall | %age | Months | %age Correction |
Gain/Loss | Taken | of previous Rally | |||
28-04-2003 | 920 | ||||
14-01-2004 | 2015 | 1095 | 119 | 8.5 | |
17-05-2004 | 1292 | -723 | -36 | 4 | -66 |
04-01-2005 | 2120 | 828 | 64 | 8 | |
29-04-2005 | 1896 | -224 | -11 | 4 | -27 |
05-10-2005 | 2669 | 773 | 41 | 5 | |
28-10-2005 | 2307 | -362 | -14 | 1 | -47 |
11-05-2006 | 3774 | 1467 | 64 | 6.5 | |
14-06-2006 | 2595 | -1179 | -31 | 1 | -80 |
08-02-2007 | 4245 | 1650 | 64 | 8 | |
05-03-2007 | 3555 | -690 | -16 | 1 | -42 |
24-07-2007 | 4648 | 1093 | 31 | 4.5 | |
17-08-2007 | 4002 | -646 | -14 | 1 | -59 |
Above is the Data of Major Rise and Major Falls had by the Nifty during its
four year Bull Run since May 2003.
1. On three of the six occasion, Major corrections occurred after rallying 64%.
Once it corrected after rallying 41% and other time 31% while the very first
correction occurred after rallying 119%
2. On two occasions Nifty Fell 30% while on four occasions Nifty Fell 15%
3. Another interesting thing is that, in between every 30% fall there have been
two corrections of 15% each. Hence if we presume current correction to be over
at my target, then you know what to expect in next major correction if one
believes in this analysis.
4. Barring the first two corrections, other four corrections have been for 1 month only
Market Outlook
Stocks For investment Portfolio
1.Telecom:-
R-com buy around480-500 tgt 810-825
2.IT:-
TCS buy around 1000-1020 tgt 1400-1425
3.Oil & Gas:-
Reliance on every dip tgt 2700-2800
4.Media:-
SunTV at 300 tgt 450
Adlabs at 450-460 tgt 730-750
5.Hotels:-
Hotel Leela 40-41 tgt 65-68
Indian Hotels 120-124 tgt 180-185
6.Power Sector:-
REL at 720 tgt 1200
7.Banks:-
ICICI Bank 800-850 tgt 1200-1250
Kotak Bank 650 tgt 900
SBIN 1400 tgt 1800
8.Infrastructure:-
GMR Infra 750 tgt 1300
L&T 2200 tgt 3400
9.Metals:-
TataSteel 530-550 tgt 800-830
Sterlite Ind 530-550 tgt 900
10.Real Estate:-
Parsvnath 260-280 tgt 520
11.Autos:-
TataMotors 620-630 tgt 850-900
12.Pharma:-
Glenmark 600 tgt 920
13.FMCG:-
ITC 155-160 tgt 225-230